Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002218 0.002343 0.002476 0.002628 0.002798 0.002984 0.003203
2025-02-16 0.002023 0.002195 0.002388 0.002621 0.002899 0.003226 0.003647
2025-02-23 0.001924 0.002132 0.002374 0.002681 0.003070 0.003560 0.004247
2025-03-02 0.001806 0.002030 0.002298 0.002651 0.003116 0.003735 0.004670
2025-03-09 0.001699 0.001931 0.002213 0.002594 0.003114 0.003838 0.005003
2025-03-16 0.001655 0.001903 0.002212 0.002642 0.003254 0.004152 0.005727
2025-03-23 0.001613 0.001872 0.002203 0.002676 0.003374 0.004455 0.006518
2025-03-30 0.001553 0.001815 0.002154 0.002648 0.003398 0.004606 0.007077
2025-04-06 0.001484 0.001743 0.002081 0.002579 0.003350 0.004627 0.007375
2025-04-13 0.001436 0.001695 0.002037 0.002549 0.003357 0.004744 0.007926
2025-04-20 0.001358 0.001605 0.001931 0.002420 0.003195 0.004533 0.007638
2025-04-27 0.001329 0.001578 0.001911 0.002419 0.003241 0.004713 0.008390
2025-05-04 0.001314 0.001572 0.001923 0.002468 0.003384 0.005118 0.010022
2025-05-11 0.001286 0.001547 0.001906 0.002473 0.003450 0.005387 0.011496
2025-05-18 0.001275 0.001545 0.001922 0.002532 0.003620 0.005925 0.014608
2025-05-25 0.001242 0.001510 0.001888 0.002505 0.003629 0.006095 0.016445
2025-06-01 0.001204 0.001468 0.001840 0.002454 0.003586 0.006128 0.017662
2025-06-08 0.001194 0.001463 0.001849 0.002498 0.003732 0.006688 0.023715
2025-06-15 0.001180 0.001454 0.001851 0.002529 0.003857 0.007242 0.033137
2025-06-22 0.001154 0.001426 0.001822 0.002504 0.003861 0.007444 0.040680
2025-06-29 0.001121 0.001386 0.001773 0.002441 0.003779 0.007352 0.043048
2025-07-06 0.001098 0.001360 0.001744 0.002414 0.003771 0.007504 0.053303
2025-07-13 0.001054 0.001303 0.001667 0.002297 0.003557 0.006929 0.041006